欧元的飙升证明了寥寥几位反对平价论的策略师是正确的。

　　摩根士丹利、法国农业信贷银行和德国商业银行等机构此前为欧元的前景辩护，反对一种就在上个月还很流行的市场观点，即欧元很快就会跌到与美元平价。如今，仅本周欧元就已上涨4%至1.08美元，而一个月前该货币还接近1.01美元。

　　“本周最大的变化是欧元终于重返赛场，”德国商业银行外汇策略师Michael Pfister表示，“市场朝我们押注的方向发展的速度略快于预期，所以这是一点小小的胜利。”

　　在德国和欧盟承诺增加国防和基础设施支出后，欧元兑美元迈向2020年以来最佳单周涨幅。

　　对冲基金现在买入期权，押注六个月内欧元甚至可能升至1.20美元，而此前一些投资者押注欧元将跌破0.95美元。

　　推荐阅读：欧元兑美元平价预期已消散 期权交易员如今押注欧元将飙涨10%

　　总体而言，接受彭博调查的分析师预计到年底欧元将跌至1.05美元，一些银行甚至预测欧元将跌至与美元平价或更低。

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