【券商聚焦】国联民生证券维持信义光能(00968)“买入”评级 指春节后光伏玻璃供需有改善信号

金吾财讯
12 hours ago

金吾财讯 | 国联民生证券发研报指,信义光能(00968)2024年收入219亿元,同比-9%;归母净利润10亿元,同比-74%。其中,2024H2公司收入103亿元,同比-20%,环比-11%;归母净利润-8亿元,同环比转亏。光伏玻璃价格压力是业绩承压关键因素。此外,2024年公司厂房设备减值、存货减值拨备增加等亦有负面影响(2024年公司厂房、存货减值亏损分别为3.9/1.6亿元,2023年分别为-/0.01亿元)。该行表示,2024年公司光伏玻璃收入188亿元,同比-12%;毛利率9.7%,同比-11.9pct。其中,2024H2收入87亿元,同比-25%,环比-14%;毛利率-4.1%,同比-31.0pct,环比-25.6pct。公司光伏玻璃业务收入和盈利均承压,该行预计主要原因为2024H2行业景气度持续下行,2024H22.0mm光伏镀膜玻璃市场单平均价12.5元,同比-5.7元/-31%,环比-4.5元/-26%。2024年公司销量同比+9.6%,测算2024H2销量同比+7%,环比+16%。该行续指,2024H2以来光伏玻璃产能冷修加速,春节后行业库存持续降低,显示供需呈改善态势,期待装机需求等积极变化。公司持续强化成本等竞争优势,同时海外产能持续落地,有望贡献业绩增量。预计2025-2027年收入分别为230/259/289亿元,同比+5%/+13%/+11%;归母净利润分别为24/28/32亿元,同比+133%/+17%/+15%。EPS分别为0.26/0.30/0.35元。维持“买入”评级。

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