金吾财讯 | 航空股晋升,截至发稿,中国南方航空(01055)涨4.92%,中国国航(00753)涨3.75%,中国东方航空(00670)涨1.9%,国泰航空(00293)涨1.89%。消息面上,华泰证券指出,航空票价有望迎来持续好转态势。在刚刚结束的春运 40 天里,民航旅客量呈现出稳步增长的趋势,同比提升 7.4%,这一增速略高于全社会跨区域人员流动量 7.1% 的同比增速,凸显出民航在较长假期中满足因私出行需求方面所具备的韧性。在票价层面,受 2024 年基数相对较高以及 2025 年春运出行需求较为分散的影响,2025 年春运期间整体收益水平表现欠佳。不过,回顾 2024 年春运尾声,航空公司逐渐推行降价促销策略,这使得基数有所下降,进而导致 2025 年票价同比降幅收窄。展望后续,在低基数的背景下,票价同比有望实现转正,逐步落实行业供需改善的逻辑。从长期视角来看,该行认为民航供给增速放缓的态势有望延续,这将为航空公司收益水平的提升提供有力支撑。对于机场而言,其盈利增长进程较为缓慢,PE 估值水平的消化尚需时日,因此,那些在公司治理方面存在边际改善的个股,更具中长期投资价值 。
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