【华泰证券:2025年钢铁行业或开启新一轮供给侧优化周期】金十数据3月5日讯,华泰证券认为,2025年钢铁行业或开启新一轮供给侧优化周期。回顾前两轮供给侧优化,在其启动之前,行业景气程度均出现了较为明显的下行态势,并且均有政府机构在各类会议上不断提及控产的必要性。预期2025年中国钢铁行业需求或略降,供给过剩压力仍存,新一轮供给侧优化迫在眉睫。2024年以来多方积极发声强调严控钢铁产量的必要性,防止“内卷”式恶性竞争,国家层级也对新一轮供给侧优化开始有所考虑。此外,截至2025年2月,Wind钢铁板块的PB和PE估值处于相对低位,分别处于2010年—2025年2月9%和11%低分位水平,也一定程度上印证了行业景气确处于低点。
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