【利空因素较多 集运指数大幅回调】金十期货3月5日讯，在标的指数（SCFIS欧线）超预期回落以及船公司再度调降3月中下旬运价带动下，集运指数大幅回调。周二赫伯罗特、长荣海运等船商跟随调降运价，其中长荣海运调降幅度超逾20%至1450美元/TEU和2460美元/FEU，赫伯罗特微幅下调4%至1350美元/TEU和2200美元/FEU，表明运输需求疲弱，船商被迫降价揽货，利空市场情绪。此外，贸易战升级从长期角度看亦对航运业形成冲击。不过新出口订单出现改善，伴随下游订单生产完成后陆续发运，将对二季度海运需求形成改善预期，叠加船公司仍有涨价预期，因此指数可参考去年同期走势，策略上等待主力06合约充分回调后的多单介入机会，套利方面可适当关注EC2506—EC2510之间正套机会。
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