The Airtasker Limited (ASX:ART) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 21%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Airtasker's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Australia's Interactive Media and Services industry is similar at about 3.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Airtasker
Airtasker hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Airtasker will help you uncover what's on the horizon.In order to justify its P/S ratio, Airtasker would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.3%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 62% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 30% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 2.4% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that Airtasker's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
Airtasker's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Airtasker's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Airtasker that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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