【“关税之王”不断加码,市场情绪承压回落】金十期货3月5日讯,国际方面,俄乌局势变数丛生;特朗普近期持续强调对加拿大、墨西哥、中国等国家加征关税,遭到相关国家关税反制,全球贸易形势急转直下,大宗商品普遍下跌。国内方面,两会进行时,关注政策发布以及落地情况。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为,综合来看,外部扰动持续增强、国内政策尚待观望的情况下,期市市场情绪整体承压,短期建议充分重视风险管理为主。1、不锈钢:菲律宾近期通过一项禁矿法案,叠加印尼为今年镍矿石开采设定了约2亿吨配额,导致矿端扰动再次升温,镍价积极拉升,上游对不锈钢的支撑力度得到强化。不锈钢企业节后逐步复工,市场关注国内政策指引,主力05合约预计本周不锈钢继续下跌空间有限,13000大关支撑之上短多或更具性价比,上破强周线图20日线13360---13400区域或打开阶段性反弹空间。2、燃油:自身基本面变化不大,期价主要跟随原油惯性下跌。在欧佩克+4月开始提高产量的情况下,特朗普国会讲话呼吁在美国开采更多石油。叠加关税风波导致需求下降预期,原油以及下游燃油近期持续承压运行为主,主力05关注3000大关得失。
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