金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示,通过学习政府工作报告和国新办的吹风会,该行认为严控增量、止跌回稳的政策,关键还是要稳住资产价格,稳住居民信心。此外,报告专门强调要有效防范房企债务违约风险,也进一步助力房企信用稳固。该行认为,房地产最确定的基本面变量,是大量成交换手才能推动价格走稳,即全年一二手房交易GTV超预期。所以,该行在地产产业链最看好交易服务商。此外,该行也看好具备好产品开发能力和优质资产组合的开发商,以及具备成长前景和分红能力的物业服务公司。基建领域,受益于供给侧优化,水泥行业供需格局改善和企业盈利修复可期。财政资金和化债加码发力,国家和地方重点项目建设更具资金保障,进展有望提速,带动行业需求底部回升,同时建筑企业资产质量有望修复。另外,政策大力支持商业航天、低空经济等新兴产业发展,带来细分领域需求提升,新兴领域发展领先的企业有望打造新增长极。
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