【大摩警告：标普500指数可能会因增长风险而下跌5%】金十数据3月10日讯，摩根士丹利的分析师Michael Wilson表示，由于担心关税和财政支出减少对企业收益的影响，美国股市有可能再次下跌5%。这位策略师称，他预计标普500指数将在今年上半年触及约5500点的低点，然后在2025年底之前回升至6500点。在2024年中之前，这位策略师是对股市普遍持悲观看法的人士之一。Wilson在一份报告中写道，他的年终目标意味着股市将从目前的水平上涨13%，不过“随着市场继续考虑这些增长风险，这条道路可能会出现波动，在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”这位策略师还警告称，如果出现经济衰退，该指数可能下跌20%。Wilson说：“我们还没有到那种地步，但事情瞬息万变，因此了解熊市的不利因素对管理风险是有用的。”
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