We recently published a list of Top 10 Stocks Analysts are Watching as AI Selloff Deepens. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) stands against other top stocks analysts are watching as AI selloff deepens.
Major AI stocks are struggling to gain traction as investors rethink their strategies amid concerns of a slowdown in spending. Even top tech bulls are starting to use the word “bubble” for the AI trade. Gene Munster, Deepwater Asset Management managing partner, said in a latest program on CNBC that he believes we still have two years of the AI bull run before the bubble bursts.
“From a high-level perspective, I always return to the fundamentals as a tech investor. The fundamentals of these companies remain strong. I predict we have two good bullish years ahead before a spectacular bubble burst. When I see this, it shakes my confidence, but if I stay focused on the fundamentals, I still believe this trade will play out.”
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For this article, we picked 10 stocks analysts are currently talking about. With each company we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
Number of Hedge Funds Investors: 193
Steve Weiss, founder and managing partner at Short Hills Capital Partners, explained in a latest program on CNBC why he sold NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares.
“I didn’t get it on the upswing of the earnings because it went into the green. I saw the wind started to go into the red. Look, there are a few issues with it with NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) in my view, one of them being that with Apple, for example, you’re starting to see them make their own chip, and others all have plans to, so there’s competition. Also, it’s been reported that Nvidia is that China is buying the Nvidia chip through other countries, so I think that’s an issue for them. And then finally, when you take a look at what tariffs could do, and Taiwan Semi has been called out for tariffs, that stock’s really gotten hit. It’s not reflected here, but they’ll pick up the excess capacity.”
The market will keep punishing Nvidia for not meeting its gigantic (and sometimes unrealistic) growth expectations. About 50% of the company’s revenue comes from large cloud providers, which are rethinking their plans amid the DeepSeek launch and looking for low-cost chips. Nvidia’s Q1 guidance shows a 9.4% QoQ revenue growth, down from the previous 12% QoQ growth. Its adjusted margin is expected to be down substantially as well to 71%. The market does not like it when Nvidia fails to post a strong quarterly beat. The stock will remain under pressure in the coming quarters when the company will report unimpressive growth.
Nvidia is facing challenges at several levels. Competition is one of them. Major competitors like Apple, Qualcomm, and AMD are vying for TSMC’s 3nm capacity, which could limit Nvidia’s access to these chips. Why? Because Nvidia also uses TSMC’s 3nm process nodes. Nvidia is also facing direct competition from other giants that are deciding to make their own chips. Amazon, with its Trainium2 AI chips, offers alternatives. Trainium2 chips could provide cost savings and superior computational power, which could shift AI workloads away from Nvidia’s offerings. Apple is reportedly working with Broadcom to develop an AI server processor. Intel is also trying hard to get back into the game with Jaguar Shores GPU process, set to be produced on its 18A or 14A node.
Brown Advisors Global Leaders Strategy stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“The main driver of our 2024 relative underperformance was not being invested in NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA). Since ChatGPT introduced the power of generative artificial intelligence to the world on 30 November 2022, the Global Leaders Strategy has outperformed its benchmark despite being underweight the USA and specifically underweight the “Magnificent Seven”.7 2024 underperformance of -2.81% versus our benchmark was almost precisely matched by the individual outperformance of NVIDIA, which we did not own. On balance the rest of the portfolio is doing just fine albeit with areas of strength (AI) and weakness (EM financials) discussed below.
We wrote about the concentration within global indexes last year and this continued with only 29% of companies within the ACWI Index at the start of 2024 outperforming this benchmark over the year. Our capital allocation added value in 2024 as five of our top ten largest weights over the year were also in our top ten percentage winners. Conversely, within our ten worst performers, seven were also amongst our smallest ten weights. Capital allocation is critical when index hit rates are below 50%…” (Click here to read the full text)
Overall, NVDA ranks 2nd on our list of top stocks analysts are watching as AI selloff deepens. While we acknowledge the potential of NVDA as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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