3 月 12 日，加拿大蒙特利尔银行（BMO）分析师们认为，周三的 CPI 报告将是衡量美联储能否达成 2% 通胀目标的关键指标，为 2 月的 PCE 预测提供重要依据。经济学家们预计核心 CPI 月率涨幅为 0.3%，低于上月，但仍高得足以让人担心通胀可能比预期更持久。虽然这样的数据对美联储来说并不理想，但它不会破坏整体通胀放缓的论调，从而使今年多次降息的可能性保持不变。
除总体通胀数据外，投资者还将关注住房服务和非住房“超级核心”通胀分项，鲍威尔将这两类通胀列为需要持续推进的领域。预计二者都将出现降温迹象，尽管仍处于历史高位。不过，即使通胀部分超出预期，全面评估也需要周四的 PPI 数据，该数据上个月在缓解市场对 CPI 意外强劲的担忧方面发挥了关键作用。(金十)
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