With its stock down 6.8% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Aristocrat Leisure (ASX:ALL). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Aristocrat Leisure's ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
Check out our latest analysis for Aristocrat Leisure
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Aristocrat Leisure is:
21% = AU$1.3b ÷ AU$6.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every A$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated A$0.21 in profit.
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
To start with, Aristocrat Leisure's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 9.1%. This certainly adds some context to Aristocrat Leisure's decent 6.1% net income growth seen over the past five years.
As a next step, we compared Aristocrat Leisure's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 41% in the same period.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is ALL worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ALL is currently mispriced by the market.
Aristocrat Leisure has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.
Additionally, Aristocrat Leisure has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 34% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Aristocrat Leisure is predicted to rise to 26% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
On the whole, we feel that Aristocrat Leisure's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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