中信证券:上半年银行板块仍有高确定性的回报行情

美港电讯
12 Mar

【中信证券:上半年银行板块仍有高确定性的回报行情】金十数据3月12日讯,中信证券研报指出,基于银行板块量化回测结果看:低估值策略小幅贡献超额收益,同时可有效降低回撤;基本面因子中,高ROE和高“拨贷比-不良率-关注率”策略表现占优,而高盈利改善策略表现不佳;所有策略中,基于基本面+估值因子的高ROE/PB和高“(拨贷比-不良率-关注率)×股息率”策略,2011年以来累计超额收益均达到300%且超额稳定,反映“质优”与“价美”对银行股投资的重要性。板块投资来看,金融政策的取向指向了较为稳定的息差预期,重点领域化险政策亦助力银行信用风险改善,政策环境有望为银行提供稳定向好的经营环境。上周银行板块整体表现稳定,我们预计人民币大类资产再配置视角下,上半年银行板块仍有高确定性的回报行情。

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