Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd. (HKG:3330) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 160% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 10x, you may consider Lingbao Gold Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 21.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
The earnings growth achieved at Lingbao Gold Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Lingbao Gold Group
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Lingbao Gold Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 22% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 103% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Lingbao Gold Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Lingbao Gold Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Lingbao Gold Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Lingbao Gold Group (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
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