里昂发表研究报告指,考虑到有部分学校为满足学位升级要求而进行招生控制、中职学位需求萎缩以及部分地区设有学费上限规定,预计中国教育机构收入增长将放缓。另外由于预计中教控股(00839.HK) 及新高教(02001.HK) 近期将增加投资,利润率下行压力更大,股息前景更为黯淡。
里昂预计中教控股及新高教今年收入增幅将分别放缓至11%和9%,今明两年盈利预测则下调15%至40%,预期未来几年收入及盈利增长都会放缓。中教控股暂停未来几年的股息支付,而期待已久的营利性民办学校登记亦依然处于停滞状态,里昂将其评级从“跑赢大市”下调至“持有”,目标价从5.8元下调至2.6元。至于新高教目标价则从2.9元下调至1.17元,评级亦由“跑赢大市”降至“持有”,建议投资者对中国教育行业持审慎看法。(gc/j)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-03-10 16:25。)
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