摩根大通经济学家将今年美国经济衰退风险上调至40%

Blockbeats
11 Mar

BlockBeats 消息,3 月 11 日,华尔街投行摩根大通的经济学家将今年的经济衰退风险从 2025 年初的 30% 上调至 40%。“由于美国的极端政策,我们认为美国今年陷入衰退的风险很大。”

摩根士丹利经济学家上周下调了经济增长预期,并上调了通胀预期。该行预测 2025 年 GDP 增长率仅为 1.5%,2026 年将降至 1.2%。

此外,高盛经济学家也将 12 个月经济衰退概率从 15% 上调至 20%。他们表示,如果特朗普政府“在数据更糟糕的情况下仍坚持政策”,预测可能进一步上升。(Cointelegraph)

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