智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利发表亚太区金融行业报告,看好股东总回报较高的新加坡及中国香港的银行股,但对于对新兴市场东盟区内的银行股看法不太正面。该行料亚太区银行今年第二季前景将由宏观事件所主导,对于东盟银行而言,争论可能围绕利率的影响(不确定的走势使投资者专注于防御性股票),以及任何潜在关税的影响可能会对中国内地产生直接影响(并进而影响中国香港),以及对供应链向东盟的迁移产生影响。
在这种环境下,该行预计新加坡银行股将表现良好,如果采取措施振兴新加坡股市,股权成本也可能降低,料新加坡交易所(SGX)或潜在受益。大华银行是该行最看好的新加坡银行。该行指,相对于恒生银行(00011)及中银香港(02388),在中国香港上市的银行股中,大摩看好汇丰控股(00005)及渣打集团(02888),因受惠股息、股票回购和持续的高股本回报率,将为此两银行的股价提供支持。
大摩表示,予汇丰“增持”评级及目标价92.3港元,予渣打“增持”评级及目标价128.3港元。该行指在亚太区金融行业中看好新加坡交易所(SGX)、新加坡大华银行(UOB)、汇丰、渣打、菲律宾BDO Unibank(BDO)及Bank of the Philippine Islands(BPI)。最不看好股份则包括恒生及中银香港。
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