摩根大通将美国经济衰退几率上调至40%

世链财经
11 Mar

3 月 11 日,华尔街投行摩根大通的经济学家将美国今年的经济衰退风险从 2025 年初的 30% 上调至 40%。分析师写道:“由于美国的极端政策,我们认为美国今年陷入衰退的风险很大。”

此前有消息称,摩根士丹利经济学家上周下调了美国经济增长预期,并上调了通胀预期。该行预测 2025 年美国 GDP 增长率仅为 1.5%,2026 年将降至 1.2%。高盛经济学家也将 12 个月经济衰退概率从 15% 上调至 20%。(金十)

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