Lunnon Metals Limited's (ASX:LM8) Path To Profitability

Simply Wall St.
11 Mar

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Lunnon Metals Limited's (ASX:LM8) future prospects. Lunnon Metals Limited focuses on the exploration and development of nickel and gold in Australia. With the latest financial year loss of AU$24m and a trailing-twelve-month loss of AU$16m, the AU$41m market-cap company alleviated its loss by moving closer towards its target of breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Lunnon Metals' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

Check out our latest analysis for Lunnon Metals

Lunnon Metals is bordering on breakeven, according to some Australian Metals and Mining analysts. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2026, before generating positive profits of AU$11m in 2027. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 2 years from today. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2027? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 57% year-on-year, on average, which is extremely buoyant. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

ASX:LM8 Earnings Per Share Growth March 10th 2025

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Lunnon Metals' upcoming projects, however, take into account that generally metals and mining companies, depending on the stage of operation and metals mined, have irregular periods of cash flow. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

Before we wrap up, there’s one aspect worth mentioning. Lunnon Metals currently has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Lunnon Metals which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Lunnon Metals, take a look at Lunnon Metals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of important aspects you should further examine:

  1. Valuation: What is Lunnon Metals worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Lunnon Metals is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Lunnon Metals’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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