【观点：ETH/BTC汇率或再跌30%，基本面因素也支持看跌前景】金色财经报道，多位分析师预警ETH/BTC汇率未来数周可能进一步下跌。加密分析师Alessandro Ottaviani将当前情况描述为“落刀”场景，意味着资产正经历快速且陡峭的下跌。 技术面显示，ETH/BTC两周图上的相对强弱指数(RSI)已跌至历史新低23.32。虽然RSI低于30通常表明超卖状态可能引发反弹，但以太坊的RSI在超卖后两个月仍持续下跌，表明下行趋势正在加速而非稳定。若无法从0.022BTC水平反弹，ETH/BTC可能继续下跌至0.020-0.016BTC区间，较当前价格再跌约30%。 基本面因素也支持看跌前景。以太坊面临Solana等竞争对手的强劲挑战，VanEck数据显示Solana去中心化交易所交易量已超过以太坊。此外，现货比特币ETF的推出打破了传统加密市场周期，2024年流入比特币ETF的1290亿美元资金抽离了包括以太坊在内的山寨币市场流动性。
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