【野村证券：美联储今年不太可能降息】金十数据3月13日讯，美国2月份通胀率有所下降，但野村证券经济学家认为美联储今年不会降息。在核心PCE通胀中权重较高的CPI分项表现强于野村的预期，导致野村将2月核心PCE通胀的预测值从之前预计的0.28%上调至0.32%。他们在报告中说：“CPI 中与PCE相关的部分表现强劲，支持了我们美联储今年不降息的预测。”除非PPI数据出现意外，否则核心PCE通胀可能会导致美联储对恢复降息变得更加谨慎。野村补充说，虽然现在看到关税提高对消费者价格的影响还为时过早，但潜在的通胀压力和政策驱动的上行风险可能会支持美联储采取鹰派做法。
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