金吾财讯 | 建银国际发研报指,在健康服务业务增长好于预期的推动下,平安好医生(01833)2024年下半年销售额同比增长10.7%,达到27亿元人民币,高于该行预估的23亿元人民币。然而,由于收入结构发生变化,低利润率的企业健康管理业务的销售贡献占比上升,健康服务业务的毛利率环比下降了5.9个百分点。经营利润率环比改善了0.5个百分点,至-1.5%,比该行的预估高出0.4个百分点,这得益于运营效率的提升。2024年下半年调整后净利润为7600万元人民币,比该行的预估低5600万元人民币,主要原因是利息收入减少。该行指,在平安好医生将大语言模型(LLM)与DeepSeek集成之后,该行预计平安好医生的健康服务业务效率将进一步提升,特别是在在线问诊准确性、电子病历管理以及与医生工作台(医院管理系统的入口)相关的其他任务方面。该行续指,由于通过进一步渗透保险客户实现了来自个人终端(F端)用户的稳定增长势头、与平安集团更紧密的合作使得企业终端(B端)用户持续保持高速增长,以及平安好医生养老服务的快速部署,该行将2025至2026财年的销售额预测上调了13.2%。考虑到该行的预测变化以及该公司每股9.70港元的特别股息分配,基于2025财年3.0倍的市销率,该行将目标价从13.5港元下调至8.9港元。维持“跑赢大市”评级。
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