Koninklijke KPN N.V. (AMS:KPN) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 28th of April to €0.102, which will be 4.1% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of €0.098. This takes the annual payment to 4.5% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Koninklijke KPN
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. The last payment made up 83% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 34.8% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 67% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from €0.04 total annually to €0.17. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Koninklijke KPN has impressed us by growing EPS at 7.0% per year over the past five years. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Koninklijke KPN will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Koninklijke KPN that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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