东吴证券:什么样的生育政策是有效的?

宏观fans哲
14 Mar

核心观点一、生育政策的国际比较(1)俄罗斯“孕产资本”,补贴力度大。2007年俄罗斯开始向第二次、第三次或多次生育的母亲一次性转移支付津贴,津贴规模与人均GDP大致1:1,2007年后俄罗斯生育率回升。(2)中东欧和北欧,快速和大力的应对。中东欧和北欧的生育政策力度较大(总支出占GDP的2%以上,现金支持占1%以上),并且起到了遏制生育率下降的作用,中东欧三国(捷克、波兰、爱沙尼亚)生育率大致在...

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