【沥青:市场利空因素仍占主导 沥青现货价格跌势难止】金十期货3月14日讯,本周全国沥青均价为3804.29元/吨,环比下跌49.43元/吨或1.28%。首先从成本端来看,受到美国贸易战扰动,油价低位震荡,本周原油均价环比维持跌势,成本端对沥青现货价格偏空。其次从供需角度分析,本周全国沥青装置平均开工负荷率环比有所上涨。加之由于需求端整体偏弱,炼厂以及社会库存持续累库,沥青供应端支撑趋弱,需求端利空影响明显。因此,在多方面利空因素影响下,近期沥青现货价格持续下跌。下周来看,刚需及投机需求不足仍然是主要利空,且原油价格预计盘整为主成本端暂无明显利好,下周全国均价波动区间在3770-3800元/吨,运行区间仍可能小幅下移。
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