【美银:2月的PCE数据料走向“错误方向”】金十数据3月13日讯,美国银行的分析师Stephen Juneau和Jeseo Park写道,2月份的核心PCE指数可能会保持1月份0.3%的水平,并补充说,他们认为该指数可能会有达到0.4%的风险。“如果我们的预测是正确的,通胀将朝着错误的方向迈出一步。”他们表示,除非经济“真的走弱”,否则通胀不太可能下降到足以让美联储在今年降息的程度,“特别是考虑到政策变化会推高通胀”。不过根据CME的数据,投资者似乎不同意这一观点,他们预计今年至少降息三次的几率为57%,不过这一比例本周一直在下降。
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