It's been a pretty great week for CuriosityStream Inc. (NASDAQ:CURI) shareholders, with its shares surging 12% to US$2.52 in the week since its latest annual results. The statutory results were not great - while revenues of US$51m were in line with expectations,CuriosityStream lost US$0.24 a share in the process. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
See our latest analysis for CuriosityStream
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for CuriosityStream from dual analysts is for revenues of US$57.7m in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 61% to US$0.09. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$56.8m and losses of US$0.06 per share in 2025. While this year's revenue estimates held steady, there was also a sizeable expansion in loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.
Despite expectations of heavier losses next year,the analysts have lifted their price target 100% to US$3.00, perhaps implying these losses are not expected to be recurring over the long term.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of CuriosityStream'shistorical trends, as the 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 12% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 9.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that CuriosityStream is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.
The most important thing to note is the forecast of increased losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at CuriosityStream. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for CuriosityStream you should know about.
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