【美股动荡难有制胜策略，滞胀交易成罕见赢家】金十数据3月13日讯，特朗普反反复复的关税战引发的美股暴跌持续到第三周，几乎没有什么可以寻求庇护的制胜策略。不过，目前有一种交易正在飙升，那就是押注在经济陷入滞胀时表现强劲的股票的配对交易。高盛的一篮子股票押注大宗商品和医疗保健等防御类股走强，做空非必需消费品类股、半导体和不盈利的科技股。截至周二，这是该行2025年表现最好的美国多空篮子，涨幅近20%，而标普500指数下跌5.3%。周三公布的数据显示，美国CPI指数以4个月来最慢的速度上涨。然而，投行Evercore ISI表示，如果按照已经提出和考虑的关税水平，征收任何一段时间的关税，都将导致美国经济增长大幅放缓，通胀大幅上升。当美国GDP同比增速低于1.5%，而核心PCE通胀高于3%时，就会出现滞胀。这种情况将触发该公司的看空情境，即标普500指数可能在年底前从目前的5600点左右跌至5200点。
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