金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示，3月13日煤炭板块领涨大盘，行业悲观预期明显改善。该行认为近日上涨或主要受到高股息风格的强化、动煤价格企稳、板块筹码结构优化等因素带动。该行指，今年以来环渤海港动力煤市场价最高累计下跌10%，跌幅超出市场预期。近期煤价企稳反弹，该行认为全年煤价底部已基本明朗，即便后续4月淡季动力煤价调整，底部或有望维持在670元以上，全年均价预期仍有望达到750元以上。焦煤方面，当前山西吕梁主焦煤价格已跌至近十年来16%分位，处于2016年供给侧改革以来相对低点；后续随地产和钢铁需求弱复苏，价格也有望逐步进入回暖通道。目前龙头公司2025年股息率还可维持在5%以上，港股龙头的股息率吸引力更为明显，若供给收缩相关倡议落地，行业反弹持续性可期。
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