It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Allot Ltd. (NASDAQ:ALLT) share price down 22% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been very strong. We're very pleased to report the share price shot up 169% in that time. So it may be that the share price is simply cooling off after a strong rise. More important, going forward, is how the business itself is going.
Since the stock has added US$28m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Allot
Allot isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last year Allot saw its revenue shrink by 1.0%. So we would not have expected the share price to rise 169%. This is a good example of how buyers can push up prices even before the fundamental metrics show much growth. Of course, it could be that the market expected this revenue drop.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
It's nice to see that Allot shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 169% over the last year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 4% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Allot .
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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