APA Corporation (NASDAQ:APA) will pay a dividend of $0.25 on the 22nd of May. This means that the annual payment will be 5.0% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for APA
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, APA's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 44.8%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 30%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
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The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The last annual payment of $1.00 was flat on the annual payment from10 years ago. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. We are encouraged to see that APA has grown earnings per share at 62% per year over the past five years. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.
An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 21% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.
Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think APA might even raise payments in the future. Distributions are quite easily covered by earnings, which are also being converted to cash flows. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for APA that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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