比推消息,汇丰全球研究经济学家称,美元走势的关键可能更多地取决于美国贸易政策的演变,而不是货币政策。他们在一份报告中表示:“对美元而言,3 月份的 FOMC 立场足够中性,没有挑战普遍的美元看跌情绪,尤其是在美国国债收益率下跌的情况下。”但他们表示,这也不足以促使美元持续抛售。他们表示,在美国国债今年开局强劲之后,美联储继续持观望态度,因此有理由对短期收益率持更为谨慎的看法,并维持其对 2025 年底 10 年期美国国债收益率的预期不变,即 3.50%。这些经济学家认为,美国股市有可能进一步出清,因该行的一些指标显示出超卖水平。
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