【巴克莱：风险倾向于美联储今年推迟降息】金十数据3月17日讯，预计美联储本周将维持政策利率不变，但巴克莱经济学家警告称，关税冲击的影响可能比FOMC在其经济预测摘要（SEP）中所显示的更为严重。他们在一份研究报告中表示：“我们认为，今年的风险倾向于推迟降息。”巴克莱预计，美联储的SEP将显示通胀和失业率预期上升，GDP增速下降，但巴克莱经济学家预计GDP放缓幅度、通胀上升幅度将大于SEP。他们补充称：“尽管我们预计SEP将显示基准利率今年将下调一次，但我们仍然认为，委员会最终将在今年6月和9月降息两次，每次25个基点。”
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