智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,预计随着气温回升、资金到位及季节性因素改善,基础设施建设实际开工量将增加,带动水泥、钢筋等需求跌幅收窄。该行表示,去年玻璃纤维和水泥的价格竞争激烈,去年下半年起供应端状况改善,使价格有所回升,至今年首季以来价格一直保持相对稳定,由于基数较低,预计企业盈利将稳健增长。其中水泥价格每年旺季期间各地都会宣布涨价,若旺季需求恢复正常,预计水泥价格将继续上涨。
该行看好具有潜在上涨空间、盈利回升、估值低且2025年第一季度盈利预测强劲的板块和股票,建议投资者留意水泥行业的投资机会,关注海螺水泥(00914)、华新水泥(06655)、上峰水泥(000672.SZ)、华润建材科技(01313)及冀东水泥(000401.SZ),预期趁低买入将可在旺季时受益于业绩改善的潜在上行。
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