BlockBeats 消息，3 月 18 日，QCP Capital 最新分析指出，尽管本周三美联储降息的可能性极低，但任何来自鲍威尔的鸽派信号都可能成为比特币上行动能的催化剂。随着美国从“财政主导”（政府支出推动增长）转向特朗普推动的赤字削减，政策重担重新落到货币政策肩上。虽然 QCP 不预期美联储会出现意外降息，但鸽派信号可能引发市场上行动能。
宏观波动性已略有缓解，VIX 指数回落至 20 左右，比特币波动率也有所下降，目前仍在 80,000 美元至 85,000 美元区间内震荡。在缺乏新关税消息的情况下，地缘政治重回焦点。黄金价格突破 3,000 美元，而比特币则继续表现出负相关性。
从历史来看，加密货币价格往往滞后于全球流动性条件的变化。随着美联储可能的政策转向以及来自欧洲和中国的新一轮刺激措施，比特币在此次调整后或迎来新一轮上涨行情。
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