【金十数据整理：美联储利率决议有何看点？】1. 点阵图预期：预计将继续暗示今年有2次降息的空间，但存在下调至降息1次/上调至降息3次的风险。2. 经济预期：预计将下调经济增长预期，并上调关键通胀指标的预期，失业率预期料将保持不变，但有上修的可能性。关注实现2%通胀目标的节点。3. 量化紧缩：留意是否会宣布对资产负债表政策（量化紧缩/QT）进行调整，预计将继续维持缩表步伐，但存在放缓缩表甚至是暂停这一进程的可能性。4. 声明措辞：对不确定前景的提及以及对就业和通胀目标风险平衡的表述可能会保持不变或进行微调，但政策制定者可能会删除对经济增长“稳健”的描述。5. 鲍威尔发布会：留意鲍威尔对经济状况的表述，是否会再次强调没必要“急于降息”；如何看待特朗普关税的影响以及近期债券收益率和股市的下跌；是否回应近期消费者信心的下降及通胀预期的上升。
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