智通财经APP获悉,麦格理发布研报称,内地建筑活动于春节后出现回升,符合历史水平,至于建筑机械等领先指标增长强劲。华东地区水泥企业于3月初上调水泥价格,而华南地区于过去数周亦进行两轮提价。该行认为,水泥价格上涨主要由于去年下半年的供应管控措施重现,领先企业在激烈价格战后同意差异化停产;以及春节淡季过后建筑活动回升。
该行提及海螺水泥(00914)总经理朱胜利近日到访广西水泥企业,就供应端管控的前景进行讨论。该行预期供应管控日后将持续,并支持水泥价格,其中西南、西部及北部地区低库存将有助水泥价格上涨。
另外,麦格理将海螺水泥2024至2026财年盈利预测分别下调34%、22%及25%,以反映销量预测下调,对其目标价由25港元上调至27.2港元。该行亦将华润建材科技(01313)今明两年的盈利预测下调25.6%及26%,并引入2027年净利润预测为28亿港元人民币;维持对其目标价2.4港元。该行维持对上述两只个股“跑赢大市”评级。
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