市场预期美联储六月降息,黄金盘面受支撑

金十财经
21 Mar

【市场预期美联储六月降息,黄金盘面受支撑】金十期货特约光大期货点评:3月20日,COMEX黄金价格上涨0.38%至3052.80美元/盎司,沪金主连上涨0.34%至710.98元/克。1. 降息方面,瑞士央行将基准利率下调25个基点至0.25%,为连续第五次降息;英国央行以8-1的票数维持利率在4.5%不变;土耳其央行紧急加息200个基点。2. 除此之外,特朗普敦促美联储降息,称美国关税开始影响经济。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示,5月维持利率不变的概率为83.7%,降息25个基点的概率为16.3%,到6月维持利率不变的概率为29.9%,累计降息25个基点的概率为59.7%,累计降息50个基点的概率为10.5%。3. 综合而言,美联储今年降息时间提前,降息次数转为两次,短期为盘面提供支撑。

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