Is CDW Corporation (CDW) the Worst Depressed Stock to Buy Now?

Insider Monkey
Yesterday

We recently published a list of 12 Worst Depressed Stocks To Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW) stands against other worst depressed stocks to buy now.

Will the “Fed Put” Come into Play?

With the recent pressure on the equity market from tariffs the market has been wondering if the Fed Put will come into play. On March 20, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley CIO, and Chief U.S. equity strategist, joined CNBC to discuss the likelihood of interest rate cuts during the year and the overall market outlook. Morgan Stanley expects the year 2025 to have only a single rate cut, however, if the market slows down more than expected then the Fed Put will come into play with another rate cut. Wilson noted that the Fed is going to respond to lower growth, however, the question that remains unanswered is how will the Fed measure this growth. According to Wilson, the labor market is one of the indicators that the reserve is watching closely. Currently, most of the weakness in the labor market is in the government sector as the government is trying to shrink the sector. Wilson noted that if this move spills over to the private sector then there is no doubt that the Fed will respond to that with another rate cut.

Wilson further elaborated that investors are not concerned about the next 12 months, rather they are more curious to know the current market situation. He noted that Morgan Stanley’s view of the market coming into 2025 was that the first half would be tougher due to the high expectations and the government sequencing its policies. One other reason behind this was that market expectations were too high whereas the reality was somewhat different. Wilson noted that we entered this year when the Fed was cutting rates and the valuations were high, so the current market slowdowns are partly due to the much-needed market correction as well. He also noted that there is a growth deceleration going on with the AI capital expenditure as well, which Wilson believes is good as now the expectations are more aligned with reality. He elaborated that these are the reasons why the firm believes that the 5,500 for the S&P 500 is a good level.

Looking ahead to the second half of the year, Wilson acknowledged potential tailwinds from growth-positive policy changes like tax cuts, deregulation, and lower yields. However, he argued that these are too distant for markets to price in currently. He also emphasized that while a “Trump put” may not exist, the “Fed put” remains active but would likely require worsening conditions in labor markets or credit and funding markets, scenarios that would initially be negative for equities.

Our Methodology

To curate the list of 12 worst depressed stocks to buy now we used the Finviz stock screener, Yahoo Finance, and CNN. Using the screener we aggregated a list of stocks that have fallen more than 15% over the past 12 months and are currently trading within 0% to 3% of their 52-week lows. Next, from this aggregated list we shortlisted stocks with more than 20% analyst upside potential. Lastly, we ranked the stocks in descending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them (from best to worst), as of Q4 2024. Please note that the data was recorded on March 19, 2025.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

An IT Executive reviewing blueprints and schematics for a hardware solution.

CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW)

52 Week Range: 162.84 – 263.37 

Current Share Price: $167.00

Analyst Upside Potential: 34.73%

1-Year Performance: -30.31%

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 46 

CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW) provides information technology solutions for businesses, government agencies, educational institutions, and healthcare organizations primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company delivers solutions in physical, virtual, and cloud-based environments across more than 150 countries.

Aoris Investment Management commented on CDW Corporation’s (NASDAQ:CDW) performance in its Q4 2024 investor letter. The fund noted that the company was one of two primary detractors from its portfolio’s performance in 2024. Its share price remained flat until its sale in October, underperforming the fund’s benchmark by 22%. The fund also highlighted that the company experienced strong growth during 2021 and 2022 due to increased IT infrastructure spending by its customers to support remote work. This spending was heavily skewed toward hardware, which constitutes more than half of its profit. However, his growth masked a deeper issue. For instance, this heavy reliance left it less aligned with customers’ growing needs in areas like cloud computing, software, and security. Moreover, the stock has dropped more than 30% over the past 12 months making it one of the worst depressed stocks to buy now.

Aoris Investment Management stated the following regarding CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:

“The two primary detractors from performance in 2024 were L’Oréal, which was held for the whole year and declined by 20%, and CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW), whose share price was flat up until its sale from the Fund in October, underperforming our benchmark by 22%.

CDW is the largest IT reseller in the United States, helping more than 250,000 small to medium-sized organisations with their technology needs.

CDW enjoyed a period of strong growth over 2021 and 2022, as many of its customers invested in their IT infrastructure to support working from home, with this spend skewed towards hardware. This was particularly favourable for CDW as hardware accounts for over half of its profit, with software and services making up the balance…” (Click here to read the full text)

Overall, CDW ranks 6th on our list of worst depressed stocks to buy now. While we acknowledge the potential of CDW as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CDW but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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