North American Construction Group Ltd (NOA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue ...

GuruFocus.com
21 Mar
  • Record Annual Revenue: Achieved with strong growth in Australia and highest revenue quarter for MacKellar Group.
  • Backlog: Ended the year with a record backlog of $3.5 billion.
  • EBITDA: $104 million with a 27.8% margin.
  • Gross Profit Margin: Combined gross profit margin of 14.6%, adjusted to 19.7% excluding specific items.
  • Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1 for the quarter.
  • Free Cash Flow: $50 million driven by strong EBITDA and lighter capital spending.
  • Net Debt: Ended the quarter at $856 million, with a leverage of 2.2 times.
  • Revenue Guidance for 2025: $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for 2025: $415 million to $445 million.
  • Adjusted EPS Guidance for 2025: $3.70 to $4.
  • Free Cash Flow Guidance for 2025: $130 million to $150 million.
  • Net Debt Leverage Target for 2025: 1.7 times.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with NOA.

Release Date: March 20, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • North American Construction Group Ltd (NYSE:NOA) achieved record annual revenue in 2024, driven by strong growth in Australia and significant contributions from the MacKellar Group.
  • The company ended the year with a record backlog of $3.5 billion, supported by major contract wins, including a four-year $500 million regional contract extension in the Canadian oil sands.
  • The MacKellar acquisition has exceeded expectations, contributing to growth, diversification, and high returns on capital.
  • The company's Australian operations maintained a high equipment utilization rate of 82% in Q4, with expectations to reach 85% in early 2025.
  • NOA's five-year growth trend shows consistent improvements, with a 20% annual growth rate and successful project completions, such as the Fargo Flood Diversion project and the joint venture with Nuna at the Ontario Gold Mine.

Negative Points

  • Canadian fleet utilization remains below target, with Q4 utilization at 54% and a goal to reach 75% by the end of 2025.
  • The Oil Sands business experienced a 30% drop in revenue last year, with current levels expected to remain consistent, indicating challenges in this segment.
  • The company faced significant shipping and logistics costs in Q4, impacting gross profit margins.
  • Q1 2025 is expected to be the weakest quarter due to weather impacts in Australia and high idle time in the Canadian oil sands during cold weather.
  • The company is still working to diversify its Canadian operations beyond the oil sands, with active tenders in Ontario but no significant wins reported yet.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide more details on the 2025 outlook for Canada, particularly regarding utilization and the bid funnel for non-oil sands mining awards? A: Joseph Lambert, President and CEO, explained that the company expects utilization to remain similar to last year, with a slight increase in oil sands demand. To achieve a 75% utilization target, winning work outside the oil sands is necessary. Active tenders in Ontario are ongoing, and if needed, assets could be prioritized for work in Australia or sold if underutilized.

Q: What factors contributed to the decline in the Oil Sands business, and is it expected to recover? A: Joseph Lambert noted a 30% drop last year, with current levels expected to remain consistent. The decline could be due to in-house or deferred work, but it's challenging to pinpoint. The company plans to maintain current demand levels and sees potential upside with increased oil sands production.

Q: Can you elaborate on the adjustments made to gross margin, specifically regarding shipping costs and claims? A: Joseph Lambert clarified that the shipping costs were higher than anticipated, and the claim was resolved as part of a four-year contract extension, which was negotiated into the contract.

Q: How does the company plan to mobilize equipment for new projects in Australia, given the high utilization targets? A: Joseph Lambert stated that the company would continue transferring underutilized assets from Canada to Australia for long-term contracts. This approach provides better returns on capital, despite short-term shipping challenges. Rebuilding existing assets to new standards is preferred over purchasing new equipment.

Q: Are there any plans to change the company's GICS code or corporate name to better reflect its business operations? A: Jason Veenstra, CFO, mentioned that the company is engaging in a GICS review to reflect its diversified business. Discussions are scheduled for next week. A name change is under consideration, but no decision has been made yet.

Q: How has the weather in Australia impacted Q1 operations, and what are the expectations for the rest of the year? A: Joseph Lambert explained that Q1 is typically the most weather-impacted quarter in Australia due to rains. Cyclone Alfred had a significant impact, but the company expects higher performance in later quarters as growth assets are delivered and ramped up.

Q: What is the company's strategy for increasing its infrastructure business to 25% of earnings? A: Joseph Lambert emphasized a focus on capital-light projects, similar to the Fargo project, which require modest capital and offer quick positive cash flow. The company aims to pursue infrastructure projects in the US and Australia, with a focus on earthworks and civil construction.

Q: How is the competition for bids in Australia, and has there been any change in sentiment due to global market conditions? A: Joseph Lambert reported strong demand and disciplined competition in Australia. The company is optimistic about winning work due to its safe, low-cost structure and strong client relationships. Early renewal and expansion opportunities continue to present themselves.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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