金吾财讯 | 中金报告指出,根据Wind统计,年初以来消费、大消费指数上涨0.5%、1.4%,在科技成长领域广受关注背景下,其整体表现相对温和,略好于市场整体(沪深300指数同期微跌0.5%)。该行表示,近期伴随消费领域政策红利及我国经济增长预期边际改善,消费板块关注度有所提升但行情波动仍大。结合目前宏观环境,对消费板块的整体配置可能仍处于偏左侧阶段,中短期(3—6月)或仍呈现为阶段性、结构性机会,建议关注细分景气行业;中期(6—12月)伴随稳增长政策进一步加码、有效需求回升,消费领域有望逐步迎来趋势性行情。
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