金吾财讯 | 摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson等人认为，美元走弱将改善美国股市的盈利前景，这有可能扭转自今年年初以来全球市场上正在进行的大规模资金流向转变。他们表示，与国际发达市场股票相比，美国股市的相对表现可能会再次占据优势。因为美元走弱应该会为美国企业盈利预期的上调提供助力，从而推动资金回流美国。花旗集团的一个指数显示，自今年年初以来，分析师对美国企业盈利的下调幅度超过了上调幅度。但Wilson认为，这种趋势已经出现了转变的迹象。他表示，推动去年股市上涨的所谓“七巨头”科技股的盈利预期调整幅度可能已经触底，这可能有助于吸引资金回流美国。摩根士丹利的团队认为，标普500指数在5500点左右存在可交易的反弹空间，策略师们写道，超卖的动能指标、较强的季节性表现以及季末的资金流动也将支撑股市反弹，不过市场波动可能仍会持续。

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