The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Poly Property Group Co., Limited (HKG:119), since the last five years saw the share price fall 42%. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 7.4%. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.
Since Poly Property Group has shed HK$459m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the five years over which the share price declined, Poly Property Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 45% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 10% compound annual share price fall. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Dive deeper into Poly Property Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Poly Property Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Poly Property Group, it has a TSR of -22% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
Poly Property Group shareholders gained a total return of 8.1% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 4% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Poly Property Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Poly Property Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
But note: Poly Property Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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