金吾财讯 | 中信建投证券研报称，近期，国家统计局、国家能源局披露的数据显示，1—2月份，规上工业发电量14921亿千瓦时，同比下降1.3%。从上游煤炭生产情况来看，1—2月份，规上工业原煤产量7.7亿吨，同比增长7.7%，增速比2024年12月份加快3.5个百分点。整体来看，原煤生产稳定增长的趋势下，预计动力煤价格仍有望维持下行趋势，火电盈利能力有望维持。该行表示，近期，国家能源局发布《关于促进可再生能源绿色电力证书市场高质量发展的意见》，针对目前绿证市场需求不足、绿色电力环境价值低估的问题，以构建强制消费与自愿消费相结合的绿证消费机制为核心，提出相关措施。伴随绿证新政的出台，绿证市场的多样性需求有望提升，绿电环境价值有望加速兑现。
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