3 月 25 日,Matrixport 发布每日图表分析称,贝莱德的比特币现货 ETF IBIT 与纳斯达克的 30 日实际相关性正逼近 70%,这一水平在历史上仅出现过两次,表明比特币当前正受与其他风险资产相同的宏观因素驱动。这一高相关性主要反映了市场对一季度财报季前的盈利预期重估,以及关税政策不确定性带来的负面影响。因此造成比特币近期走势与美股科技板块保持高度一致。然而历史数据显示,如此高的相关性通常难以持续,预示着比特币与纳斯达克未来可能出现走势分化。
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