What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Enbridge (TSE:ENB) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Enbridge:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.051 = CA$10b ÷ (CA$219b - CA$24b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Thus, Enbridge has an ROCE of 5.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 8.9%.
See our latest analysis for Enbridge
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Enbridge compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Enbridge .
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Enbridge in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 5.1% and the business has deployed 33% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
Long story short, while Enbridge has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 132% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for Enbridge you'll probably want to know about.
While Enbridge may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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