交银国际发布研报称,维持中集安瑞科(03899)估值标准在10.8倍2025年市盈率,下调目标价至8.12港元,维持“买入”评级。该行认为目前公司仍处于盈利构成的重整期:1)化工/液态食品分部仍有待盈利增长加速及可见度改善;2)氢能相关的合营公司在2025-27年间的贡献将持续增厚。按公司订单增长趋势及合营公司的发展情况,该行下调公司2025/26年盈利3%及5%,预期公司2024-27年的盈利复合增长为8%。
报告指,公司2024年核心盈利同比增长4%至13.4亿元人民币,与该行预期相若。其中,整体毛利低于该行预期约10%,主要原因是该行对公司清洁能源的收入及毛利率预测偏高,但期内的管理费用及税费较预期低,使核心盈利仍合乎预期。
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