高盛:上调中国金茂(00817)评级至“买入” 目标价升至1.5港元

智通财经
28 Mar

智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研报称,将中国金茂(00817)评级由“中性”上调至“买入”,目标价由1.15港元上调至1.5港元。受逐步复苏的开发物业毛利率及高利润经常性收入贡献推动,高盛预测,中国金茂2025至2027财年的综合毛利率,将分别为14.7%、15.3%及15.4%,从而推动公司2027财年现金股东权益回报率升至8%。

该行预期,中国金茂开发物业业务利润率及股东权益回报率将较同业更快复苏,主要由于中国金茂已录得同业领先的存货减值;以及自2024年下半年加速在核心地段和高档项目进行土地储备后,估计公司可售资源的35%将实现中高十位数(mid-to-high teen)的毛利率。

该行预期,公司开发物业分部的毛利率将在2025至2027财年期间呈逐步复苏趋势,并在未来进一步改善,因为其预售现金毛利率应从2025财年起提升至中十位数水平。

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