经济数据出现利多,黄金继续上攻

金十财经
28 Mar

【经济数据出现利多,黄金继续上攻】金十期货特约光大期货点评:3月27日,COMEX黄金价格上涨1.54%至3099.20美元/盎司,沪金主连上涨1.09%至716.64元/克。1. 数据方面,美国第四季度实际个人消费支出季率终值 4%,预期4.2%,前值4.2%;第四季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值 2.6%,预期2.7%,前值2.7%。2. 降息方面,欧洲央行副行长金多斯表示很难判断欧洲央行在4月将采取何种措施。美联储柯林斯表示通胀风险偏向上行,强烈支持美联储维持利率不变的决定;巴尔金表示关于关税,鉴于近期的高通胀,可能对价格产生更大的影响,但尚不清楚利率将稳定在何水平。最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示,5月维持利率不变的概率为87.8%,降息25个基点的概率为12.2%,到6月维持利率不变的概率为35.6%,累计降息25个基点的概率为57.1%,累计降息50个基点的概率为7.3%。3. 综合而言,黄金继续再创新高,尚未看见明确反转信号。

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