Is Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) the Best Cannabis Stock to Buy According to Billionaires?

Insider Monkey
28 Mar

We recently published a list of 12 Best Cannabis Stock to Buy According to Billionaires. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI) stands against other best marijuana stocks to invest in according to billionaires.

2025 didn’t start off very well for the American cannabis sector. The recent failure of the adult-use ballot initiative in Florida, the lack of prioritization of federal reforms, and pricing pressure by the black market have contributed significantly to cannabis equity values reaching near record lows. MSOS, the first actively managed US-listed ETF with dedicated cannabis exposure focusing exclusively on US companies, has fallen by just over 36% since the beginning of the year, against a decline of 1.72% by the general market.

READ ALSO: 10 Best Alcohol Stocks to Buy According to Billionaires

To make matters worse, the biggest multi-state cannabis operators have as much as $6 billion in debt maturing next year, according to Whitney Economics. Moreover, due to federal illegalization, these companies cannot turn to the US bankruptcy court to keep their creditors at bay while renegotiating their debt. As a result, these businesses will be forced to refinance their debt at higher interest rates and onerous contractual covenants, which will be extremely difficult to manage given the declining profitability of the sector. A recent survey by Whitney Economics revealed that only 27.3% of cannabis operators nationwide are profitable, compared to 42% in 2022.

Also, despite the stringent crackdowns, the cannabis black market continues to be a constant thorn in the side of licensed operators. The market remains flooded with illegal weed, and according to cannabis market tracker BDSA, the US witnessed about $44 billion in illicit sales last year compared to around $31 billion in regulated, legal sales. The black market, combined with an oversaturation of legal operators, has led to a massive decline in prices and, hence reduced margins. The US Cannabis Spot Index, which tracks wholesale prices in 22 states, sits at $991 per pound after reaching a record low in early January of $888. This is significantly down from its peak of $2,133 in September 2015, during the early period of licensed sales in some states.

Given the tough conditions at home, a growing number of cannabis operators are now looking to capitalize on the growing opportunities abroad. As you will notice below, several cannabis stocks in our list managed to increase their sales in the last quarter also due to their expanding international footprint and revenues. With legalization gaining traction worldwide, several industry veterans are now exporting cannabis internationally or straight up establishing growing facilities in their target markets. A great example is how Canada’s volume of cannabis exports to Germany doubled from 16,895 kilograms (roughly 37,247 pounds) in 2023 to 33,155 kilograms last year, according to Germany’s Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices.

As of the writing of this article, 24 states have legalized recreational weed in America, in addition to the District of Columbia. However, possessing or selling marijuana remains a crime under federal law, punishable by prison time and fines.

With that said, here are the Best Marijuana Stocks According to Billionaires.

Photo by CRYSTALWEED cannabis on Unsplash

Our Methodology

To collect data for this article, we scanned Insider Monkey’s database of billionaires’ stock holdings and picked the top 10 companies operating in the cannabis sector with the highest number of billionaire investors in Q4 of 2024. When two or more companies had the same number of billionaires backing them, we ranked them by the revenue of their last financial year. Following are the Best Marijuana Stocks to Invest in According to Billionaires.

At Insider Monkey, we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI)

Number of Billionaire Holders: 4

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI) is a commercial real estate finance company that manages a diversified portfolio of real estate credit investments, primarily in the cannabis space, and is actively investing across the value chain.

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI) missed forecasts in Q4 2024 as its EPS of $0.39 fell slightly below expectations of $0.42. The company’s revenue of $14.07 million was also down 5.2% YoY and missed estimates. As of March 12, 2025, REFI had $71.5 million available on its secured revolving credit facility and a total liquidity, net of estimated liabilities, of approximately $67 million. The company also declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.47 and also paid a special cash dividend of $0.12 per share in January. REFI is expecting to maintain payment of 90% to 100% of its basic distributable earnings per share in dividends also in the year 2025.

Shares of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NASDAQ:REFI) were held by 6 hedge funds at the end of Q4 2024, with a total stake value of $15.79 million, up by over 122% from the previous quarter. REFI was also included in our list of the 10 Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks to Buy According to Analysts.

Overall, REFI ranks 8th on our list of the best cannabis stocks to buy according to billionaires. While we acknowledge the potential for REFI to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than REFI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires

Disclosure: None. Insider Monkey focuses on uncovering the best investment ideas of hedge funds and insiders. Please subscribe to our free daily e-newsletter to get the latest investment ideas from hedge funds’ investor letters by entering your email address below.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10